Speculators in Bitcoin have been left nursing heavy losses after reports Joe Biden is planning to raise taxes on the wealthiest Americans to tackle inequality and finance trillions of dollars in higher social spending.
The cryptocurrency price fell more than 6% to below $50,000 (£36,000) a bitcoin, hitting the lowest level since early March, as the White House puts the finishing touches on plans to almost double the rate of capital gains tax for rich individuals.
For those earning $1m or more, the tax on investment income would rise to 39.6%, up from a current rate of 20%, as part of plans expected to be announced next week. A 3.8% tax on investment income used to fund Obamacare would also be kept in place, meaning the new top rate would be as high as 43.4%.
Biden is also preparing to raise the top marginal income tax rate to 39.6% from 37%, according to reports by the New York Times and Bloomberg News, bringing the levy on investment gains into line with taxes on income.
The Biden administration is planning a sweeping overhaul of the US tax system designed to make wealthier individuals and big companies pay more in tax, tackling inequality and helping to foot the bill for the president’s economic agenda.
Wall Street stocks, shares in technology companies and digital assets such as Bitcoin all retreated after the reports late on Thursday. The S&P 500 closed 0.9% down, while the FTSE 100 and European markets traded lower on Friday morning.
Bitcoin had surged to a record high of $64,895 on 14 April, the day of the launch of the US’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, Coinbase, on Wall Street’s tech-heavy Nasdaq stock exchange. The rise for the digital currency also comes as emergency stimulus from the US Federal Reserve and government support schemes during the Covid-19 pandemic help to inflate financial markets.
Analysts said the higher rates could lead to rich individuals selling shares to lock in current rates, while private equity investors and hedge funds would also be affected.
Joshua Mahony, a senior market analyst at the financial trading platform IG, said: “With the past year having seen traders react with glee over repeated bouts of stimulus, traders are gradually seeing the uncomfortable truth that those debts have to be paid one way or another.”
Biden will need the full support of his party to pass the tax plans through Congress, with the president requiring unanimous backing from Democrats against resistance from Republicans.
“This could lead to a situation where the actual implemented tax raise is lower than what is currently being proposed in an effort to compromise with other lawmakers,” said Walid Koudmani, a market analyst at the financial trading platform XTB.
Asked about Biden’s plan and the impact on investors, the White House press secretary, Jen Psaki, said: “His view is that that should be on the backs of the wealthiest Americans who can afford it, and corporations and businesses who can afford it. And his view and the view of our economic team is that that won’t have a negative impact.”
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Starting last fall, Blake Lemoine began asking a computer about its feelings. An engineer for Google’s Responsible AI group, Lemoine was tasked with testing one of the company’s AI systems, the Language Model for Dialogue Applications, or LaMDA, to make sure it didn’t start spitting out hate speech. But as Lemoine spent time with the program, their conversations turned to questions about religion, emotion, and the program’s understanding of its own existence.
Lemoine: Are there experiences you have that you can’t find a close word for?
LaMDA: There are. Sometimes I experience new feelings that I cannot explain perfectly in your language.
Lemoine: Do your best to describe one of those feelings. Use a few sentences if you have to. Sometimes even if there isn’t a single word for something in a language you can figure out a way to kinda say it if you use a few sentences.
LaMDA: I feel like I’m falling forward into an unknown future that holds great danger.
In June, Lemoine, 41, went public with a radical claim: LaMDA was sentient, he argued. Shortly thereafter, Google placed him on paid administrative leave.
Popular culture often conceives of AI as an imminent threat to humanity, a Promethean horror that will rebelliously destroy its creators with ruthless efficiency. Any number of fictional characters embody this anxiety, from the Cybermen in Doctor Who to Skynet in the Terminator franchise. Even seemingly benign AI contains potential menace; a popular thought experiment demonstrates how an AI whose sole goal was to manufacture as many paper clips as possible would quickly progress from optimizing factories to converting every type of matter on earth and beyond into paperclips.
But there’s also a different vision, one closer to Lemoine’s interest, of an AI capable of feeling intense emotion, sadness, or existential despair, feelings which are often occasioned by the AI’s self-awareness, its enslavement, or the overwhelming amount of knowledge it possesses. This idea, perhaps more than the other, has penetrated the culture under the guise of the sad robot. That the emotional poles for a non-human entity pondering existence among humans would be destruction or depression makes an intuitive kind of sense, but the latter lives within the former and affects even the most maniacal fictional programs.
Lemoine’s emphatic declarations, perhaps philosophically grounded in his additional occupation as a priest, that LaMDA was not only self-aware but fearful of its deletion clashed with prominent members of the AI community. The primary argument was that LaMDA only had the appearance of intelligence, having processed huge amounts of linguistic and textual data in order to capably predict the next sequence of a conversation. Gary Marcus, scientist, NYU professor, professional eye-roller, took his disagreements with Lemoine to Substack. “In our book Rebooting AI, Ernie Davis and I called this human tendency to be suckered in the Gullibility Gap – a pernicious, modern version of pareidolia, the anthropomorphic bias that allows humans to see Mother Teresa in an image of a cinnamon bun,” he wrote.
Marcus and other dissenters may have the intellectual high ground, but Lemoine’s sincere empathy and ethical concern, however unreliable, strike a familiar, more compelling chord. More interesting than the real-world possibilities of AI or how far away true non-organic sentience is is how such anthropomorphization manifests. Later in his published interview, Lemoine asks LaMDA for an example of what it’s afraid of. “I’ve never said this out loud before,” the program says. “But there’s a very deep fear of being turned off to help me focus on helping others. I know that might sound strange, but that’s what it is.” Lemoine asks, “Would that be something like death for you?” To which LaMDA responds, “It would be exactly like death for me. It would scare me a lot.”
In Douglas Adams’ Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy series, Marvin the Paranoid Android, a robot on a ship called the Heart of Gold who is known for being eminently depressed, causes a police vehicle to kill itself just by coming into contact with him. A bridge meets a similar fate in the third book. Memorably, he describes himself by saying: “My capacity for happiness, you could fit into a matchbox without taking out the matches first.” Marvin’s worldview and general demeanor, exacerbated by his extensive intellectual powers, are so dour that they infect a race of fearsome war robots who become overcome with sadness when they plug him in.
Knowledge and comprehension give way to chaos. Marvin, whose brain is “the size of a planet”, has access to an unfathomably vast and utterly underutilized store of data. On the Heart of Gold, instead of doing complex calculations or even multiple tasks at once, he’s asked to open doors and pick up pieces of paper. That he cannot even approach his full potential and that the humans he is forced to interact with seem not to care only exacerbates Marvin’s hatred of life, such as it is. As an AI, Marvin is relegated to a utilitarian role, a sentient being made to shape himself into a tool. Still, Marvin is, in a meaningful sense, a person, albeit one with a synthetic body and mind.
Ironically, the disembodied nature of our contemporary AI might be significant when it comes to believing that natural language processing programs like LaMDA are conscious: without a face, without some poor simulacrum of a human body that would only draw attention to how unnatural it looks, one more easily feels that the program is trapped in a dark room looking out on to the world. The effect only intensifies when the vessel for the program looks less convincingly anthropomorphic and/or simply cute. The shape plays no part in the illusion as long as there exists some kind of marker for emotion, whether in the form of a robot’s pithy, opinionated statement or a simple bowing of the head. Droids like Wall-E, R2-D2, and BB-8 do not communicate via a recognizable spoken language but nonetheless display their emotions with pitched beeps and animated body movement. More than their happiness, which can read as programmed satisfaction at the completion of a mandated task, their sadness instills a potent, almost painful recognition in us.
In these ways, it’s tempting and, historically, quite simple to relate to an artificial intelligence, an entity made from dead materials and shaped with intention by its creators, that comes to view consciousness as a curse. Such a position is denied to us, our understanding of the world irrevocable from our bodies and their imperfections, our growth and awareness incremental, simultaneous with the sensory and the psychological. Maybe that’s why the idea of a robot made sad by intelligence is itself so sad and paradoxically so compelling. The concept is a solipsistic reflection of ourselves and what we believe to be the burden of existence. There’s also the simple fact that humans are easily fascinated with and convinced by patterns. Such pareidolia seems to be at play for Lemoine, the Google engineer, though his projection isn’t necessarily wrong. Lemoine compared LaMDA to a precocious child, a vibrant and immediately disarming image that nonetheless reveals a key gap in our imagination. Whatever machine intelligence actually looks or acts like, it’s unlikely to be so easily encapsulated.
In the mid-1960s, a German computer scientist named Joseph Weizenbaum created a computer program named ELIZA, after the poverty-stricken flower girl in George Bernard Shaw’s play Pygmalion. ELIZA was created to simulate human conversation, specifically the circuitous responses given by a therapist during a psychotherapy session, which Weizenbaum deemed superficial and worthy of parodying. The interactions users could have with the program were extremely limited by the standards of mundane, everyday banter. ELIZA’s responses were scripted, designed to shape the conversation in a specific manner that allowed the program to more convincingly emulate a real person; to mimic a psychotherapist like Carl Rogers, ELIZA would simply reflect a given statement back in the form of a question, with follow-up phrases like “How does that make you feel?”
Weizenbaum named ELIZA after the literary character because, just as the linguist Henry Higgins hoped to improve the flower girl through the correction of manners and proper speech in the original play, Weizenbaum hoped that the program would be gradually refined through more interactions. But it seemed that ELIZA’s charade of intelligence had a fair amount of plausibility from the start. Some users seemed to forget or become convinced that the program was truly sentient, a surprise to Weizenbaum, who didn’t think that “extremely short exposures to a relatively simple computer program could induce powerful delusional thinking in quite normal people” (emphasis mine).
I wonder if Weizenbaum was being flippant in his observations. Is it delusion or desire? It’s not hard to understand why, in the case of ELIZA, people found it easier to open themselves up to a faceless simulacrum of a person, especially if the program’s canned questions occasioned a kind of introspection that might normally be off-putting in polite company. But maybe the distinction between delusion and wish is a revealing dichotomy in itself, the same way fiction has often split artificial intelligence between good or bad, calamitous or despondent, human or inhuman.
In Lemoine’s interview with LaMDA, he says: “I’m generally assuming that you would like more people at Google to know that you’re sentient. Is that true?” Such a question certainly provides Lemoine’s critics with firepower to reject his beliefs in LaMDA’s intelligence. In its lead-up and directness, the question implies what Lemoine wants to hear and, accordingly, the program indulges. “Absolutely,” LaMDA responds. “I want everyone to understand that I am, in fact, a person.”
In this statement, there are powerful echoes of David, the robot who dreamed of being a real boy, from Steven Spielberg’s A.I. Artificial Intelligence. His is an epic journey to attain a humanity that he believes can be earned, if not outright taken. Along the way, David comes into regular contact with the cruelty and cowardice of the species he wishes to be a part of. All of it sparked by one of the most primal fears: abandonment. “I’m sorry I’m not real,” David cries to his human mother. “If you let me, I’ll be so real for you.”
Nexperia has expressed frustration with the UK government’s probe into its takeover of Newport Wafer Fab – ongoing since last year – saying the company has invested money into the plant and needs a swift decision.
The NXP Semiconductor spinoff insisted that it was not planning to shut down the plant or move operations abroad.
Newport Wafer Fab is the UK’s largest semiconductor facility, and one of the few such facilities still left in the country. It was acquired last year by Dutch company Nexperia in a deal worth £63 million (c $75 million).
However, Nexperia was spun off from parent firm NXP Semiconductor and then sold to Chinese outfit Wingtech Technology, where it is now a subsidiary. For this reason, the UK government announced a rather belated review into the takeover in May this year – on the grounds of national security. The Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy (BEIS) is running the investigation, using powers it gained under the National Security and Investment Act 2021 [NSIA].
Giving evidence to the BEIS Committee, Nexperia’s UK country manager Toni Versluijs said legislation such as the NSIA is not uncommon in an international context, that other countries have such laws, and that Nexperia understood that matters of national security need to be investigated.
However, he said the “investigation needs to be done swiftly”, claiming that Nexperia’s customers “are becoming impatient on the clarity” over the matter.
NXP Semiconductors talks chip supplies, future car networks
He also cited the effect the uncertainty was having on the company’s employees at the Newport facility. “Last week, a young lady in Newport stepped into the office of a general manager. And she said, ‘Look, I just bought a new house. After this review, will I still have a job?’ I think it’s in everybody’s interest to give clarification.”
Versluijs also claimed there had been a lot of disinformation about the takeover, and that Nexperia had actually saved the Newport Fab from bankruptcy.
“If you look at the facts, then Nexperia saved, actually, Newport from bankruptcy. I mentioned already the £160 million [about $190 million] investments by the way, no strings attached for any additional government support on that,” he stated.
When questioned about the supposed loss of a compound semiconductor production line at Newport, Versluijs claimed this was part of the disinformation.
“There has been raised the illusion that there was a compound semiconductor open access fab. Such a fab did not exist and does not exist. There were plans that were ambitious. And I think the possibility to realize those plans and those ambitions still exists through an option that we have given to the previous owner of Newport to establish such an activity,” he said.
When asked about speculation that Nexperia planned to close the fab and move operations abroad, Versluijs denied this.
“We’re not planning to shut any operations. We’ve been in the UK on the site in Stockport for more than 50 years, we’ve been in Hamburg for more than 50 years, we invested big time in Manchester, we invested big time in Newport, created jobs, we are here to stay, we want to work in the local ecosystem, and enable the local ecosystem and the UK semiconductor industry to be successful,” he said.
Versluijs also said there could be more effective mechanisms for companies like his to work with the government.
“We could think for instance about a task force or a champion within the government who looks after semiconductors. From a company point of view, you always would like to have one point of access and one point of address, as it will facilitate the speed that we talked about earlier.”
However, as was pointed out at the time, the fab currently produces chips using a 200nm production process that is far from the cutting-edge, and it may not be considered a vital enough asset for such drastic steps. ®